Comments on: Recent prediction market news http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/09/11/recent-prediction-market-news/ A blog on prediction markets and innovation Fri, 16 Jul 2010 12:34:39 +0000 hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.0 By: jedc_mercury http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/09/11/recent-prediction-market-news/comment-page-1/#comment-2277 jedc_mercury Sun, 14 Sep 2008 16:24:14 +0000 http://blog.mercury-rac.com/?p=95#comment-2277 If that small but noisy Silicon Valley crowd could make those businesses profitable, then good for them! The problem seems to be that they didn't do a basic (and realistic) analysis of the marketplace and where they might fit into it. <br><br>Oh, well... it's their investors that will end up losing! If that small but noisy Silicon Valley crowd could make those businesses profitable, then good for them! The problem seems to be that they didn't do a basic (and realistic) analysis of the marketplace and where they might fit into it.

Oh, well… it's their investors that will end up losing!

]]> By: jedc_mercury http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/09/11/recent-prediction-market-news/comment-page-1/#comment-577 jedc_mercury Sun, 14 Sep 2008 10:24:14 +0000 http://blog.mercury-rac.com/?p=95#comment-577 If that small but noisy Silicon Valley crowd could make those businesses profitable, then good for them! The problem seems to be that they didn't do a basic (and realistic) analysis of the marketplace and where they might fit into it. <br><br>Oh, well... it's their investors that will end up losing! If that small but noisy Silicon Valley crowd could make those businesses profitable, then good for them! The problem seems to be that they didn't do a basic (and realistic) analysis of the marketplace and where they might fit into it.

Oh, well… it's their investors that will end up losing!

]]> By: Nigel Eccles http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/09/11/recent-prediction-market-news/comment-page-1/#comment-576 Nigel Eccles Sat, 13 Sep 2008 18:07:09 +0000 http://blog.mercury-rac.com/?p=95#comment-576 I shared your amazement about ExchangeP. It is also sub par to Tradevibes exchange: <a href="http://www.tradevibes.com/exchange">http://www.tradevibes.com/exchange</a><br><br>However the problem with both these exchanges is that it caters to a very small (but noisy) Silicon Valley crowd. I shared your amazement about ExchangeP. It is also sub par to Tradevibes exchange: http://www.tradevibes.com/exchange

However the problem with both these exchanges is that it caters to a very small (but noisy) Silicon Valley crowd.

]]> By: jedc_mercury http://blog.mercury-rac.com/2008/09/11/recent-prediction-market-news/comment-page-1/#comment-572 jedc_mercury Fri, 12 Sep 2008 08:03:01 +0000 http://blog.mercury-rac.com/?p=95#comment-572 After reading some of the comments on Mike's post over at Midas Oracle, it sounds like the odd pricing structure at InTrade may be causing some of these differences. Arbitrage between the Obama contract and the Democratic presidential contract appears to be not particularly profitable. After reading some of the comments on Mike's post over at Midas Oracle, it sounds like the odd pricing structure at InTrade may be causing some of these differences. Arbitrage between the Obama contract and the Democratic presidential contract appears to be not particularly profitable.

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